5 Auto Stocks Likely to Benefit After Cabinet Approves BS-IV Vehicle Replacement Scheme

Synopsis: The Union Cabinet approved the Naya Safar scheme to phase out BS-IV commercial vehicles in Delhi-NCR, boosting prospects for commercial vehicle and electric bus manufacturers as fleet operators transition to BS-VI and electric alternatives.

Delhi-NCR is set to witness a significant shift in its commercial vehicle landscape as the government pushes for cleaner and more efficient transportation solutions. With air pollution remaining a persistent challenge in the region, policymakers are focusing on accelerating the retirement of older diesel-powered vehicles and promoting the adoption of modern alternatives.

The proposed initiative could act as a strong demand catalyst for manufacturers of commercial vehicles and electric buses. As fleet owners prepare for tighter emission regulations and potential financial incentives, companies involved in the production of BS-VI trucks, buses, and electric vehicles may emerge as key beneficiaries of the transition.

The Naya Safar Initiative

Piloted by the Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs, the scheme focuses on replacing older BS-IV trucks and buses with BS-VI compliant models or electric vehicles (EVs). To make the transition smoother for vehicle owners, the government plans to offer interest subsidies on bank loans for new purchases alongside diesel coupons as incentives for scrapping or replacing older, high-polluting diesel vehicles.

Target Fleet and Scope

The scheme will cover all types of trucks registered in the NCR, as well as both government-owned and privately-operated buses. Government data indicates that around two lakh old trucks and 20,000 diesel buses currently registered in the region fall under the purview of this scheme. Officials note that because BS-IV vehicles hit the market in 2017, older BS-II or BS-III commercial vehicles are already rare in the area.

According to government data shared with a parliamentary panel, medium and heavy commercial vehicles account for nearly 40% of vehicular pollution in Delhi-NCR. While the region has roughly 3.3 crore registered vehicles, only about 2.2 crore hold valid registration and fitness certificates. Out of the seven lakh medium and heavy commercial vehicles registered, just over three lakh are fully compliant with fitness norms.

Stricter Enforcement on the Horizon

The scheme aligns with a previous directive from the Commission for Air Quality Management (CAQM), which mandated that all commercial goods vehicles registered outside Delhi must be BS-VI compliant to enter the national capital starting November 1, 2026. Officials state that once the Naya Safar incentives are fully implemented, authorities will be able to enforce these strict anti-pollution restrictions much more effectively.

The Cabinet has approved a Rs. 5,041 crore scheme aimed at phasing out old trucks and buses in Delhi, promoting cleaner transportation and reducing vehicular pollution in the national capital. 

Stocks to watch 

Olectra Greentech Ltd

Olectra Greentech is one of India’s leading electric bus manufacturers and a key beneficiary of the government’s push toward cleaner public transportation. The company supplies electric buses to multiple state transport undertakings and could benefit from increased demand if fleet operators replace older diesel buses with electric alternatives under the proposed scheme. With a market capitalisation of Rs. 10,916 cr, the shares of Olectra Greentech Ltd closed at Rs. 1319.70 cr, up from its previous close of Rs. 1,285.85 per share.  

JBM Auto Ltd

JBM Auto has emerged as a prominent player in the electric mobility space through its electric bus manufacturing business. The company’s growing order book and focus on sustainable transportation position it well to capitalise on any large-scale replacement of aging commercial vehicle fleets in Delhi-NCR. With a market capitalisation of Rs. 15,800 cr, the shares of JBM Auto Ltd closed at Rs. 668.10 cr, up from its previous close of Rs. 648.35 per share. 

Ashok Leyland Ltd

Ashok Leyland is one of India’s largest commercial vehicle manufacturers, offering a wide range of BS-VI trucks and buses. The proposed scrappage and replacement scheme could drive fresh demand for the company’s heavy commercial vehicles as fleet operators upgrade older BS-IV vehicles. With a market capitalisation of Rs. 85,670 cr, the shares of Ashok Leyland Ltd closed at Rs.  145.85 cr, down from its previous close of Rs. 149.05 per share. 

SML Mahindra Ltd

SML Mahindra Ltd specialises in medium and light commercial vehicles, including buses and trucks. The company’s strong presence in the bus segment could help it benefit from replacement demand generated by the phase-out of older diesel buses and commercial vehicles in the NCR region. With a market capitalisation of Rs.  5,477cr, the shares of SML Mahindra Ltd closed at Rs. 3785 cr, up from its previous close of Rs. 3,716.50 per share. 

Force Motors Ltd

Force Motors is a leading manufacturer of buses, vans, and commercial transport vehicles. With a portfolio of BS-VI-compliant products, the company could see improved sales opportunities if operators take advantage of government incentives to replace older vehicles with cleaner and more efficient models. With a market capitalisation of Rs. 22,815 cr, the shares of Force Motors Ltd closed at Rs. 17505.90 cr, down from its previous close of Rs. 17,836.35 per share. 

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