NATO wargame shows Russia conquers the Baltics in days as US holds back and Europe hesitates

A German-led wargame suggests Russia could secure key objectives in the Baltics within days by exploiting alliance hesitation and political ambiguity. A simulated incursion into southern Lithuania showed Nato members delaying military responses, allowing Moscow to establish control without major escalation. The exercise highlights how decision-making dynamics and expectations, rather than force alone, could shape outcomes in a future crisis.

Feb 6, 2026 - 05:30
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NATO wargame shows Russia conquers the Baltics in days as US holds back and Europe hesitates
A German-led wargame suggests Russia could secure key objectives in the Baltics within days by exploiting alliance hesitation and political ambiguity. A simulated incursion into southern Lithuania showed Nato members delaying military responses, allowing Moscow to establish control without major escalation. The exercise highlights how decision-making dynamics and expectations, rather than force alone, could shape outcomes in a future crisis.

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